Fight detail
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Bout 1 · 5 rounds · Main event
highapprovedno_bet
Prediction summary
Raw model A
61.7%
Adjusted A
64.7%
Simulation A
56.5%
Market A
82.0%
Edge
-17.30%
Market gap
20.06%
Confidence + decision
Confidence score
1.00
Needs external data
false
Reasons
market distance warningmarket sanity blend
Betting decision
Decision tier
no_bet
Recommended EV
+0.589
healthy_underdog_segment • live_market_gap_too_large • losing_segment_side_profile:underdog • market_distance_warning • market_sanity_blend • system_paper_only